Prediction of Saveliy Ivanov vs Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12-03-25

• How do both players compare on second serve performance? Saveliy Ivanov wins 42.71% of second serve points recently, while Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul wins 46.18%.
• Ivanov excels at returning, winning 44.47% of points on opponent's second serve, compared to Trongcharoenchaikul’s 40.86%.
• In first serve returns, Ivanov has an edge with 24.29%, while Trongcharoenchaikul is at 22.11%.
• Under pressure, Ivanov saves 54.97% of breakpoints, while Trongcharoenchaikul saves 58.91%.
• Looking at matches over the last year, Ivanov has a 35.85% win rate, whereas Trongcharoenchaikul has a higher win rate of 44.07%.
• Both players perform best on clay, each with a 56% win rate. Ivanov has a lower win rate on hard courts (45%) compared to Trongcharoenchaikul’s performance on indoor hard (41%).
• Ivanov plays mostly at Futures/ITF $10K level, winning 37.25% of matches, while Trongcharoenchaikul has a 46% win rate at the same level.
• Ivanov faces slightly tougher opponents with an average rank of 339.62 compared to Trongcharoenchaikul's opponents ranked at 428.12 on average.
• In deciding sets, Ivanov has a 35% win rate, while Trongcharoenchaikul is slightly better at 39%.
• For predicting outcomes beyond past performance, consider current event statistics for an indicator of which player is in form.

Editorial Prediction (December 2, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match features two players with distinct strengths: Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul boasts a stronger recent second serve performance, a factor often pivotal in winning matches.

Conversely, Saveliy Ivanov shines in return games, especially against second serves, giving him a crucial edge in potential break opportunities.

The breakpoint saving ability favors Trongcharoenchaikul, contributing further to his resilience under pressure. However, Ivanov has tackled tougher opponents recently, which could enhance his competitive readiness.

Ultimately, although Ivanov’s superior return game poses a challenge, the combination of Trongcharoenchaikul’s better performance under pressure and solid second serve makes him the likely winner.